Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation affecting resolution timing
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:35:15 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Speculation on future performance
correlates · strength 60%
Similar uncertainty in prediction
correlates · strength 60%
Unpredictability in outcomes
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Senegal vs. Iraq match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 1 Iraq?' currently reflects a low probability (3.45%) of this specific outcome. The match is scheduled for June 26, 2026, with resolution based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Senegal could secure a 2-1 victory if they dominate possession, create multiple high-quality chances, and convert two of them while Iraq scores only once, possibly from a set piece or counterattack. Defensive lapses by Iraq or key player absences for Iraq could tilt the odds in Senegal's favor.
The market may remain cautious due to Senegal's inconsistent recent form or Iraq's defensive solidity and counterattacking threat. A 2-1 outcome could be seen as unlikely if Senegal struggles to break down Iraq's defense or if Iraq's goalkeeper performs exceptionally.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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