Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match, leading to default resolution
AI updated 6/28/2026, 12:15:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
6%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
No direct correlation with WeWork bankruptcy announcements (e.g., Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by the end of 2023?) as they pertain to separate industries
correlates · strength 60%
Low correlation with US Fed rate decisions (e.g., Will US Fed cut rates in Q3 2026?) due to differing market categories (sports vs finance)
correlates · strength 60%
Moderate correlation with other soccer exact score markets (e.g., Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?, Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?) due to shared category and potential for similar betting patterns
correlates · strength 60%
No correlation with the Fed’s lower bound (e.g., Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?) as it is unrelated to sports
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between South Africa and Canada, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the South Africa vs. Canada match originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?' shows a low probability (5.50%) of this specific outcome occurring in the 2026 FIFA World Cup match. The market's resolution criteria are strict, excluding extra time and penalties, and defaulting to '0-0' or 'Any Other Score' in case of postponement or cancellation.
A 0-3 victory for Canada would reflect strong offensive performance, tactical superiority, or South Africa's defensive weaknesses. Canada's recent form, player fitness, and head-to-head history could support this outcome if they dominate possession and scoring chances.
A 0-3 result is unlikely given Canada's historical underperformance in World Cup matches and South Africa's defensive resilience. Potential factors like fatigue, injuries, or tactical errors by Canada could mitigate this outcome, leading to a lower-scoring or draw result.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
