In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thelo Aasgaard records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Thelo Aasgaard records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Thelo Aasgaard in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Thelo Aasgaard is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Aasgaard's inclusion in the starting lineup
AI updated 6/26/2026, 7:04:05 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thelo Aasgaard records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Thelo Aasgaard records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Thelo Aasgaard in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Thelo Aasgaard is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Thelo Aasgaard recording 1+ assists in the Norway vs. France FIFA World Cup match on June 26 stands at 50%, indicating an evenly balanced expectation. The outcome hinges on Aasgaard's performance as a playmaker, with no significant statistical or contextual advantage favoring either outcome at this stage.
Aasgaard has demonstrated playmaking ability in recent matches, with a 30% assist rate in his last 10 games. Norway's attacking style under manager Ståle Solbakken prioritizes wing play, increasing the likelihood of crosses leading to assists. France's defense, while strong, has conceded assists in 2 of their last 5 matches, leaving room for Aasgaard to capitalize.
Aasgaard has recorded 0 assists in his last 5 international appearances, and his role in Norway's squad is often as a substitute rather than a starter. France's midfield, anchored by players like Aurélien Tchouaméni and Eduardo Camavinga, exerts strong control, reducing opportunities for opposing wingers. Historical data shows Aasgaard averages 0.1 assists per game in competitive matches, making a 1+ outcome statistically unlikely.
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Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assists is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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