Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement due to external factors (e.g., weather, logistical issues)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:49:28 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
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Geopolitical Tensions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Egypt and IR Iran, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Egypt vs. IR Iran match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for an exact 3-3 draw between Egypt and IR Iran in their June 26, 2026 FIFA World Cup match shows a low probability (0.75%), reflecting historical rarity and contextual match dynamics. The resolution criteria strictly exclude extra time or penalties, limiting potential outcomes.
A 3-3 draw becomes plausible if both teams prioritize attacking play, with Egypt relying on Mohamed Salah's creativity and Iran leveraging set-piece specialists. High-scoring group-stage matches in recent World Cups (e.g., 2022) suggest offensive potential, though defensive lapses would be required.
The probability remains suppressed due to defensive records: Egypt conceded only 1.1 goals per game in 2022 qualifiers, while Iran allowed 0.9 in the same period. Low-scoring trends in recent Egypt-Iran encounters (average 1.3 goals) further reduce the likelihood of a 6-goal outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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