Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Last-minute tactical changes by either team
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:05:13 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
16%
ORYN Consensus
16%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score is not directly related to Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) as it is a sports event and not a market-related event
correlates · strength 60%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? is related to Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) due to potential disruptions in global supply chains
correlates · strength 60%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of June 2023? (M$10,000 subsidy) is related to Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) as both are related to global economic uncertainty and potential market disruptions
correlates · strength 60%
Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024? is related to Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) as both are related to market volatility and uncertainty
correlates · strength 60%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? is not directly related to Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) as it is a sports event and not a market-related event
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 12-18
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cabo Verde" if Cabo Verde win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Saudi Arabia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests a 15.5% probability that Cabo Verde will win by 2 or more goals against Saudi Arabia in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match on June 26. The outcome hinges on a clear margin of victory rather than a simple win.
Cabo Verde's recent form shows strong attacking performance, with a high-scoring streak in qualifying matches. If they maintain this momentum, they could secure a dominant 2-goal margin. Home advantage (neutral venue) or tactical adjustments may further favor Cabo Verde.
Saudi Arabia's defensive resilience in recent tournaments could prevent a 2-goal loss, especially if Cabo Verde struggles with injuries or tactical errors. Saudi Arabia's counter-attacking style might limit Cabo Verde's margin of victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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