Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Rodrigues
AI updated 6/27/2026, 1:45:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
49%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 45-52
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
4 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Cabo Verde and Saudi Arabia, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Garry Rodrigues records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Garry Rodrigues records 3.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Garry Rodrigues in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Garry Rodrigues is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Garry Rodrigues recording 4+ shots in the Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia match is nearly balanced at 49.50%, indicating high uncertainty. The outcome hinges on Rodrigues' performance and match dynamics.
Rodrigues is a winger with a history of high shot volume (avg. 3.2 shots per game in 2023-24). Cabo Verde’s attacking style and Saudi Arabia’s defensive vulnerabilities could enable him to exceed 3.5 shots.
Saudi Arabia’s midfield dominance may limit Cabo Verde’s possession, reducing Rodrigues’ opportunities. Injuries or tactical adjustments (e.g., defensive shifts) could suppress his shot count below the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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