In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if João Félix records more than 2.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if João Félix records 2.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to João Félix in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If João Félix is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Félix's playtime
AI updated 6/26/2026, 7:16:06 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if João Félix records more than 2.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if João Félix records 2.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to João Félix in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If João Félix is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for João Félix recording 3+ shots on target in the Colombia vs. Portugal FIFA World Cup match has an even 50% probability, reflecting balanced uncertainty about his performance. The outcome hinges on his direct involvement, tactical role, and the match dynamics.
João Félix could exceed 3 shots on target if Portugal dominates possession, he plays as a central attacking midfielder, and Colombia's defense struggles with quick transitions. His dribbling and finishing form in recent games also support a high-output scenario.
Félix may record fewer than 3 shots on target if Portugal deploys him in a deeper or wider role, Colombia's defense is disciplined, or he is substituted early. Fatigue or tactical adjustments could also limit his shot opportunities.
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João Félix: 3+ shots on target is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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