In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Francisco Conceição records more than 0.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Francisco Conceição records 0.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Francisco Conceição in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Francisco Conceição is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution removing Conceição from play
AI updated 6/26/2026, 5:31:11 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Francisco Conceição records more than 0.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Francisco Conceição records 0.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Francisco Conceição in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Francisco Conceição is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Francisco Conceição recording 1+ shots on target in the Colombia vs. Portugal World Cup match is currently at 50%, reflecting a balanced outlook. Performance variability and tactical role are the primary uncertainty drivers for this outcome.
Conceição could exploit defensive gaps in Portugal's backline, leveraging his pace and dribbling to create multiple high-quality chances. If Colombia dominates possession, his involvement in attacking phases would increase, raising the likelihood of multiple shots on target.
Portugal's disciplined defensive structure, particularly with full-backs providing cover, may suppress Conceição's opportunities. If Colombia struggles to build play or Conceição is deployed in a deeper, less influential role, his shot count could remain minimal.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Francisco Conceição: 1+ shots on target is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
