Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: The typically lower-scoring nature of international football matches
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:02:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Shared Predictive Modality: Despite their disparate topics and timeframes, all listed markets operate under a common prediction market framework, aggregating crowd-sourced probabilities for clearly defined and objectively resolvable future events.
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,016,235
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amad Diallo records more than 2.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Amad Diallo records 2.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Amad Diallo in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Amad Diallo in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Amad Diallo is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market assesses whether Amad Diallo will achieve 3 or more combined goals and assists in the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway. This represents a high-threshold performance for a single player in an international match, with the market currently pricing this outcome at 50%.
Amad Diallo could be in exceptional form, leveraging potential defensive weaknesses in Norway or a highly aggressive offensive strategy from Côte d'Ivoire. If he is central to all attacking plays and the match becomes a high-scoring affair, he might accumulate multiple goals and assists, potentially through penalties or set-pieces.
Achieving 3+ goals and assists in a single World Cup match is an extremely rare feat against international-level defenses. Strong opposition, limited playing time due to substitution or injury, or a more distributed offensive contribution from teammates would likely prevent Diallo from reaching this high threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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