Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data unavailability or delays in ETF flow reporting
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:46:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Ethereum ETF Flows on June 26
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Friday, June 26, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Ethereum ETF Flows market on June 26, 2026, has an even probability (50%) of resolving positively or negatively, reflecting high uncertainty in short-term ETF demand. The binary outcome depends on net inflows or outflows, with a tiebreaker mechanism for zero or unresolved data.
Positive flows could occur if macroeconomic conditions improve, institutional demand surges, or Ethereum's price rally attracts ETF investors. Regulatory clarity or ETF provider marketing efforts may also boost inflows, leading to a net positive outcome.
Negative flows are possible if market sentiment sours, regulatory hurdles emerge, or Ethereum underperforms relative to alternatives. Outflows could also result from profit-taking or broader crypto market downturns, leading to a net negative resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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