This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets due to external shocks
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:16:14 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
28%
ORYN Consensus
28%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a low probability (28.5%) that Ethereum's price on Binance will exceed $1,600 by June 30. Current macroeconomic conditions and technical indicators favor a bearish outlook for this short-term horizon.
Ethereum could surpass $1,600 if a sudden surge in institutional adoption or a major DeFi protocol update triggers a bullish rally. Alternatively, a favorable regulatory clarity event (e.g., ETH ETF approval) could drive speculative buying pressure.
Ethereum may remain below $1,600 due to persistent macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., Fed rate hikes, recession fears) or a broader crypto market downturn. Regulatory uncertainty or a major security breach in DeFi could also suppress prices.
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 30? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 28.5% while ORYN AI estimates 28.5%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
