Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (resolves to 50-50)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:01:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,208,782
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Team Nemesis and PARIVISION each kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? is currently at 50.00%, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear consensus on whether both Team Nemesis and PARIVISION will kill Roshan at least once during the game. The neutral starting probability reflects the inherent uncertainty in Dota 2 match dynamics and the specific conditions required for resolution.
Both teams may prioritize Roshan as a strategic objective, especially if the game is closely contested. Historical data from similar matches suggests that teams with balanced drafts or mid-game leads often secure Roshan kills to gain item advantages. A high tempo or coordinated playstyle could increase the likelihood of both teams achieving this condition.
Either team might avoid or fail to secure Roshan kills due to tactical misplays, early game dominance by one side, or a focus on other objectives like towers or enemy heroes. Low coordination, poor draft picks, or a one-sided game could prevent both teams from meeting the condition, leading to a 'No' resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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