Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:01:50 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,208,027
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 2. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both LGD Gaming and Virtus.pro each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Game 2 (both teams destroying at least one enemy barracks) is at neutral odds (50%), reflecting balanced expectations. The outcome depends on team strategies, early-game pressure, and match dynamics in Dota 2.
Both LGD Gaming and Virtus.pro are known for aggressive push strategies, increasing the likelihood of barracks destruction. High-pressure drafts or early tower dominance could lead to barracks falls. Historical data shows teams in this region often prioritize barracks targets.
Teams may focus on high-ground objectives (e.g., Ancient) instead of barracks, delaying or avoiding barracks destruction. Defensive playstyles or late-game strategies reduce the probability. If either team is significantly weaker, barracks destruction becomes less likely.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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