Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:16:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Yorkshire and Somerset scheduled for 2026-07-03 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Yorkshire will be considered correct if Yorkshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Somerset will be considered correct if Somerset is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'T20 Blast, Women: Yorkshire vs Somerset - Toss Match Double Somerset Winner' is evenly split at 50.00%, indicating no clear favorite between Yorkshire and Somerset winning both the toss and the match. The resolution hinges on two distinct outcomes: a double win for Somerset or a double win for Yorkshire, with all other scenarios defaulting to 'Draw'.
Somerset may be favored due to recent form, home advantage, or stronger squad depth, increasing the likelihood of winning both the toss and the match. If Somerset's players are in peak condition or have historical dominance in T20 Blast matches, this could drive the probability higher.
Yorkshire could counter with a strong bowling attack, strategic field placements, or home crowd support, making them more likely to win the toss and match. If Yorkshire's recent performances are superior or Somerset's key players are unavailable, the probability may shift toward Yorkshire.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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