Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: postponement_or_cancellation_due_to_weather
AI updated 7/2/2026, 4:45:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
46%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -100.0¢
Entry: 43-49
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
6 points
This market refers to the cricket match between Washington Freedom and San Francisco Unicorns scheduled for July 4 2026 in Major League Cricket. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Major League Cricket match between Washington Freedom and San Francisco Unicorns on July 4, 2026, stands at 45%, reflecting moderate uncertainty due to evenly matched teams and potential external factors. The resolution depends on official ESPNcricinfo results, with tiebreakers or cancellations defaulting to 50-50.
San Francisco Unicorns may win due to stronger recent form, higher-ranked players, or home-field advantage, leading to a potential 55-60% chance of victory. Their franchise history and star power could tilt the odds in their favor.
Washington Freedom could triumph if they leverage underdog momentum, stronger bowling depth, or tactical brilliance, pushing their odds above 50%. Weather disruptions or player injuries may also favor them unexpectedly.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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