Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment or cancellation due to weather (resolves as 'Draw')
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:04:14 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
1 points
This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between BCC Spartan and MU Plovdiv scheduled for 2026-06-30 in ECS Bulgaria. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to BCC Spartan will be considered correct if BCC Spartan is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than MU Plovdiv.The outcome corresponding to MU Plovdiv will be considered correct if MU Plovdiv is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than BCC Spartan. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for BCC Spartan to hit the most sixes against MU Plovdiv in their ECS Bulgaria match on 2026-06-30 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite. The outcome hinges on in-game batting performance and match conditions.
BCC Spartan could win the 'Most Sixes' market if their top-order batsmen dominate with aggressive stroke play, leveraging favorable pitch conditions for power hitting. Strong overseas players or local hitters with high six-hitting tendencies may tilt the odds in their favor.
MU Plovdiv may outperform in sixes if BCC Spartan's bowlers struggle with boundary control, allowing opponents to target them aggressively. Pitch conditions favoring spin or seam bowling could suppress six-hitting, benefiting MU Plovdiv's power hitters.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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