Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable T10 outcomes
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:17:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Rising Star Verola and Bassano Bresciano scheduled for 2026-06-29 in Coppa il Mondo T10. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Rising Star Verola will be considered correct if Rising Star Verola is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Bassano Bresciano will be considered correct if Bassano Bresciano is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 50% probability for Bassano Bresciano to win both the toss and the match against Rising Star Verola in the Coppa il Mondo T10, with a symmetric risk of a 'Draw' outcome due to the strict resolution criteria requiring alignment of toss and match winners.
Bassano Bresciano's dominance in T10 formats, recent form, and home advantage could lead to a clean sweep of both toss and match, validating the 50% probability. A strong bowling lineup and aggressive batting may outweigh Verola's potential upset bid.
Rising Star Verola's underdog status and potential tactical advantages (e.g., dew factor, pitch conditions) could disrupt Bassano Bresciano's plans, resulting in a mismatch between toss and match winners or a 'Draw' resolution. External factors like weather or player availability may also play a role.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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