Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected changes in team lineup due to injuries
AI updated 6/26/2026, 7:00:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
48%
ORYN Consensus
47%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-26 is a sports outcome, while Manifold.love daily active users and US debt ceiling are technology and economic outcomes, respectively.
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated: Iraq win on 2026-06-26 is a separate sports outcome, Norway vs. France is a different sports event, and Sam Altman's CEO status is a corporate leadership outcome, all unrelated to Grêmio Novorizontino's win.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -100.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
10 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If Grêmio Novorizontino wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Grêmio Novorizontino has a near-even chance of winning the match on 2026-06-26, with a market probability of 46.50%. The outcome hinges on team performance, opponent strength, and external factors like injuries or weather conditions.
Grêmio Novorizontino could secure a victory if they leverage home advantage, strong offensive tactics, or defensive resilience against a weaker opponent. Historical performance trends or key player form may also favor their chances.
The bear case suggests Grêmio Novorizontino may lose due to poor form, injuries to key players, or facing a stronger opponent. External factors like referee decisions or unfavorable weather conditions could further reduce their odds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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