Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or illness to either player pre/post match
Calibrated 100% · raw 4900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:01:18 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
-49.0
Opportunity
36.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,137,519
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4900.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
16 points
This market refers to the tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Jay Dylan Friend in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Cary tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Jay Dylan Friend is evenly split at 50.50%, reflecting high uncertainty about match completion due to the strict resolution criteria. The binary outcome hinges on whether the match concludes under standard play without forfeits, cancellations, or delays exceeding 7 days.
The match completes as scheduled on June 30, 2026, with a clear winner determined through normal play. Favorable conditions (e.g., no injuries, weather disruptions, or administrative issues) and strong player performance could drive resolution to 'Yes.' Historical data suggests professional matches rarely fail to complete under standard ATP/WTA rules.
The match is not completed due to player forfeiture (e.g., injury, retirement), cancellation, or a tie (e.g., walkover, disqualification). External factors like adverse weather, scheduling conflicts, or organizational errors could disrupt the match, leading to a 'No' resolution despite initial plans.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.