Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 9775% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:15:44 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
98%
Signal Score
+97.8
Opportunity
92.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,950
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9775.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Wawrinka” if Stan Wawrinka wins set 4. It will resolve to “Berrettini” if Matteo Berrettini wins set 4. If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Set 4 Winner: Wawrinka vs Berrettini' shows an extremely low probability (0.25%) favoring Wawrinka, indicating strong market skepticism of his chances against Berrettini in set 4 of their Wimbledon match.
Wawrinka's experience and grass-court pedigree (3-time Grand Slam champion) could allow him to outlast Berrettini in a grueling set 4, especially if Berrettini struggles with fatigue or serves inconsistently.
Berrettini's powerful serve and baseline game are better suited to grass courts, and his recent form suggests he is likely to dominate set 4, making Wawrinka's victory highly unlikely.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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