Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen player injury or illness
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:17:16 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,684,959
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Nuno Borges in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Wimbledon ATP match between Jannik Sinner and Nuno Borges has an even 50% probability of completion by the governing body's rules. The outcome hinges on match-specific factors such as player form, weather conditions, and administrative decisions.
Sinner and Borges are both in strong form, with Sinner ranked higher and Borges showing resilience. The match is likely to be played under ideal conditions, with no forfeits, retirements, or cancellations expected. Historical data suggests Wimbledon matches rarely face completion issues.
Potential disruptions such as weather delays, player injuries, or administrative errors could prevent completion. Given Sinner’s higher ranking, a walkover or retirement by Borges is unlikely, but external factors like extreme heat or scheduling conflicts may interfere.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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