Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or withdrawal before the match
Calibrated 100% · raw 1150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:16:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
26%
ORYN Consensus
14%
Signal Score
-11.5
Opportunity
9.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,665,250
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1150.0¢
Entry: 22-29
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jack Pinnington Jones in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 5. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the total sets in the Brandon Nakashima vs. Jack Pinnington Jones Wimbledon match (scheduled June 29, 2026) shows a 14.00% probability of the total sets exceeding 4.5 (i.e., 5 or more sets). This suggests a strong expectation of a shorter match, likely due to the volatility of early-round Wimbledon encounters.
The market may underestimate the likelihood of an extended match if Nakashima and Pinnington Jones are both aggressive baseliners with high endurance, leading to longer rallies and potential five-set battles. Grass courts often produce upsets, increasing the chance of a prolonged contest.
The low probability reflects a consensus that both players are likely to advance quickly, with Nakashima (ranked higher historically) favored to dominate in straight sets or via a brief third-set tiebreaker. Wimbledon’s fast-playing surfaces and early-round pressure may suppress total sets.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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