Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay (resolves 50-50)
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:45:30 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
14%
ORYN Consensus
15%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,489,939
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 11-16
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 5. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a low probability (13.50%) that the Wimbledon match between Alex de Minaur and Roman Andres Burruchaga will exceed 4.5 total sets. This suggests expectations of a relatively short match, likely dominated by a top seed with strong groundstrokes or serve dominance.
A higher total sets outcome (Over 4.5) could occur if both players are evenly matched, leading to longer rallies and multiple set breaks. Burruchaga, a qualifier, might push de Minaur to five sets, especially if the match extends into the second week with fatigue playing a role.
The Under 4.5 outcome is more likely given de Minaur's consistent performance in best-of-three matches and Burruchaga's lower ATP ranking. A swift victory for de Minaur in straight sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-4) would skew the market toward the Under category.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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