Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen weather delays or cancellations
Calibrated 100% · raw 3900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:45:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
31%
ORYN Consensus
70%
Signal Score
+39.0
Opportunity
33.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,857,531
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 3900.0¢
Entry: 28-34
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Sebastian Gima in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Justo” if Guido Justo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Gima” if Sebastian Gima wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Sebastian Gima with a 69.50% implied probability to win the first set against Guido Justo. The outcome hinges on performance dynamics, historical head-to-head data, and in-match conditions.
Guido Justo could win the first set if he leverages his aggressive baseline play and superior serve consistency, particularly under Brasov's high-altitude conditions which may favor his power game. Early momentum or a dominant tiebreak performance could shift the odds in his favor.
Sebastian Gima benefits from a higher market probability due to his recent clay-court success and Justo's inconsistent form in ATP Challenger events. Gima's defensive resilience and Justo's potential fatigue from a grueling warm-up match could secure Gima's first-set victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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