Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/29/2026, 1:31:00 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
47%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,563,857
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gurri" if Max Alcala Gurri wins by 2 or more sets than Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Gueymard-Wayenburg." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) to win by a margin of at least 2 sets, with a current probability of 47%. Gurri (-1.5) is slightly disfavored, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome of this Challenger-level tennis match.
Gurri (-1.5) could win decisively by 2+ sets due to superior form, surface adaptability, or Gueymard-Wayenburg's potential fatigue or injury. A strong serve or baseline dominance might swing the market in Gurri's favor.
Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) benefits from the handicap, requiring only a 1-set victory to resolve the market. Gurri's inconsistency or Gueymard-Wayenburg's clay-court proficiency (if applicable) could lead to a 50-50 resolution if the match is incomplete.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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