Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
AI updated 6/29/2026, 1:30:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
63%
ORYN Consensus
63%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,564,492
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 60-66
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Gurri” if Max Alcala Gurri wins the first set. It will resolve to “Gueymard-Wayenburg” if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market currently favors Max Alcala Gurri (62.5%) to win the first set against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in their Brasov Challenger match. The outcome hinges on in-match performance dynamics, with Gurri perceived as the slight favorite.
Gurri’s 62.5% probability suggests he is favored due to stronger recent form, higher ranking, or favorable head-to-head data. A win would validate market sentiment and likely see Gurri advance in the tournament.
Gueymard-Wayenburg’s 37.5% implied probability reflects potential underdog scenarios, such as Gurri’s inconsistency, Gueymard-Wayenburg’s clay-court proficiency, or external factors like weather delays affecting Gurri’s game.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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