Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:15:25 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,436
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fernandez" if Bruno Fernandez wins by 2 or more sets than Rodrigo Pacheco, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Pacheco." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Fernandez (-1.5) vs Pacheco (+1.5) shows an even split (50%) between the two outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in the tennis match outcome. The handicap suggests Fernandez is favored to win by 2+ sets, but Pacheco's +1.5 handicap balances the perceived odds.
Bruno Fernandez is favored to win by 2+ sets due to higher ATP ranking (top 50 vs Pacheco's top 100), recent form, and home advantage (Quito Challenger). If Fernandez dominates with a straight-sets win or minimal sets lost, the market resolves in his favor.
Rodrigo Pacheco could upset the market if he leverages his clay-court experience (Quito is played on clay) or if Fernandez underperforms due to fatigue or injury. A close match (e.g., 2-1 sets) or any incomplete/delayed match would result in a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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