Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or postponement due to external factors
Calibrated 100% · raw 1450% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:01:15 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
35%
ORYN Consensus
49%
Signal Score
+14.5
Opportunity
11.3
Graph Relationships
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Sports Event Outcomes
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,137,884
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1450.0¢
Entry: 31-38
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Fernandez' if Bruno Fernandez advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Bruno Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Quito tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Rodrigo Pacheco shows a near-even split, with a slight edge to Rodrigo Pacheco at 52.50%. The outcome hinges on player performance, fitness, and match conditions in Quito.
Bruno Fernandez could exploit Pacheco's potential weaknesses in clay court conditions, leveraging his experience in South American tournaments to secure a victory. A strong serve and aggressive baseline play may tilt the odds in his favor.
Rodrigo Pacheco's consistent performance in recent ATP Challenger events and familiarity with Quito's high-altitude conditions could give him the edge. Fernandez's injury history or subpar form may further favor Pacheco's chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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