Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unforeseen player injury during warm-up
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:19:49 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated Markets
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,754
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlasek/Rikl and Giron/Tabilo in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Pavlasek/Rikl” if Pavlasek/Rikl wins the first set. It will resolve to “Giron/Tabilo” if Giron/Tabilo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Wimbledon ATP first-set winner between Pavlasek/Rikl and Giron/Tabilo is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite. The outcome hinges on pre-match form, surface suitability, and in-game dynamics.
Pavlasek/Rikl may capitalize on their stronger grass-court experience and recent form, particularly if Rikl's serving consistency dominates early points. A high first-serve percentage could tilt momentum in their favor.
Giron/Tabilo could exploit Pavlasek/Rikl's potential weaknesses in baseline rallies or net play, especially if Giron's aggressive style disrupts the doubles pair's rhythm. Tabilo's left-handed serve may also pose challenges.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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