Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match delay or cancellation risk due to weather
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:00:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 42% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
49%
ORYN Consensus
49%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,816,426
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 45-52
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Gabriel Diallo in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bonzi” if Benjamin Bonzi wins the first set. It will resolve to “Diallo” if Gabriel Diallo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market shows a near-even split between Benjamin Bonzi and Gabriel Diallo winning the first set at Wimbledon 2026, reflecting balanced expectations. The slight 48.50% probability for Bonzi suggests marginal favorability based on current form and matchups.
Bonzi’s bull case hinges on his clay-court proficiency translating to grass, where his serve-and-volley style could disrupt Diallo’s baseline game. Recent ATP Challenger performances indicate Bonzi’s momentum, potentially outweighing Diallo’s higher ATP ranking.
Diallo’s bear case assumes Bonzi’s grass-court adaptation is overstated, favoring Diallo’s baseline consistency and higher ATP ranking (120 vs. Bonzi’s 150). Injury concerns or fatigue from prior rounds could also tilt odds toward Diallo.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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