This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Key risk: High variability in golf tournament outcomes due to field strength
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:39:40 PM
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
16%
Signal Score
+15.3
Opportunity
11.1
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market currently assigns a 15.95% probability to Jason Day winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, reflecting his competitive standing but not a dominant favorite. Historical performance and tournament conditions will be critical factors in this assessment.
Jason Day, a former world number one with strong tournament experience, could leverage his consistency and skill in tournament play to secure a victory. A favorable draw, strong form leading into 2026, or a tournament setup aligning with his strengths (e.g., strategic play) could boost his odds.
Jason Day faces stiff competition from younger, rising stars and established veterans in the PGA Tour, where field depth is high. Injuries, declining form, or a tournament format unfavorable to his strengths (e.g., high-scoring conditions) could significantly reduce his chances.
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Will Jason Day win the 2026 Travelers Championship? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 0.6% while ORYN AI estimates 16%.
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