Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High variability in golf tournament outcomes due to field strength
Calibrated 100% · raw 1535% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:39:40 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
16%
Signal Score
+15.3
Opportunity
11.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1535.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
16 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Travelers Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market currently assigns a 15.95% probability to Jason Day winning the 2026 Travelers Championship, reflecting his competitive standing but not a dominant favorite. Historical performance and tournament conditions will be critical factors in this assessment.
Jason Day, a former world number one with strong tournament experience, could leverage his consistency and skill in tournament play to secure a victory. A favorable draw, strong form leading into 2026, or a tournament setup aligning with his strengths (e.g., strategic play) could boost his odds.
Jason Day faces stiff competition from younger, rising stars and established veterans in the PGA Tour, where field depth is high. Injuries, declining form, or a tournament format unfavorable to his strengths (e.g., high-scoring conditions) could significantly reduce his chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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