Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Whaley's eligibility to compete in PGA Tour events in 2026
Calibrated 100% · raw 5040% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:17:56 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+50.4
Opportunity
36.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,663,605
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5040.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
16 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Vince Whaley winning the 2026 John Deere Classic is nearly evenly split, with a 49.50% probability. The event's outcome hinges on Whaley's performance and PGA Tour eligibility, as well as broader golf tournament dynamics.
Vince Whaley is a top-performing golfer with a strong track record in PGA Tour events, including multiple top-10 finishes. His recent form and consistency suggest he is well-positioned to contend for a victory in 2026. Additionally, favorable course conditions or a favorable draw could further bolster his chances.
Vince Whaley has not won a PGA Tour event in the past two years, and his recent performances have been inconsistent. The 2026 John Deere Classic may feature stronger competition, including rising stars or established players with superior form. Injury or other unforeseen circumstances could also derail his campaign.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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