Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential injury or form slump leading up to 2026
Calibrated 100% · raw 4895% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:31:03 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+49.0
Opportunity
25.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,685,719
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4895.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
20 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Neal Shipley has a 49.5% chance to win the 2026 John Deere Classic, reflecting moderate but not overwhelming confidence in his prospects. The market is finely balanced, with no dominant favorite, and outcomes depend heavily on Shipley's form and tournament conditions.
Neal Shipley's recent performances and course history at TPC Deere Run could favor his chances, as familiarity with the layout often boosts confidence and consistency in tournaments. If Shipley enters peak form in mid-2026, his odds may improve significantly, aligning with historical winners' profiles.
The John Deere Classic is known for upsets and strong fields, with unpredictable weather and high-pressure moments often reshaping outcomes. Shipley’s lack of major tournament wins or a top-100 world ranking could disadvantage him against more established competitors.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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