Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Age-related decline in performance
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:31:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.3
Opportunity
0.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 25.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
90 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The probability of Matt Kuchar winning the 2026 John Deere Classic is extremely low at 0.55%, reflecting his age (58 in 2026), declining form, and the competitive nature of PGA Tour events. The market is highly skewed toward other outcomes, including 'No' or 'Other,' due to the tournament's structure and resolution rules.
Matt Kuchar could win if he regains peak form, experiences a resurgence in performance, or benefits from favorable conditions such as a strong final round. His experience and past success at the John Deere Classic (2012 winner) provide a slim but plausible path to victory.
Kuchar's age and recent performance decline make a win unlikely; he has not won a PGA Tour event since 2019 and has struggled with consistency. The tournament's competitive field and resolution rules (e.g., 'No' if eliminated early) further reduce his chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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