Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low historical performance of Vilips in PGA Tour events
AI updated 6/29/2026, 9:15:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.7
Opportunity
0.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 65.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
90 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Karl Vilips winning the 2026 John Deere Classic has a low probability of 1.05%, indicating minimal market confidence in his victory. The tournament's resolution rules heavily favor alternative outcomes, including 'No' or 'Other' resolutions, reducing the likelihood of a positive outcome for Vilips.
Karl Vilips could win the 2026 John Deere Classic if he performs exceptionally well in the lead-up to the tournament, capitalizing on favorable conditions, or benefiting from a weak field. A strong recent form or a breakthrough performance might shift market sentiment positively.
The market reflects a high probability that Karl Vilips will not win the tournament, as evidenced by the low resolution probability. Factors such as injury, poor form, strong competition, or tournament-specific challenges (e.g., course conditions) could eliminate him from contention.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
