Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Emergence of unlisted top contenders in 2026
Calibrated 100% · raw 4825% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:30:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+48.3
Opportunity
32.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4825.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
90 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Erik Van Rooyen has a near-even chance (49.50%) of winning the 2026 John Deere Classic, reflecting competitive parity in the field. His performance in recent events and historical PGA Tour success contribute to the balanced odds.
Van Rooyen's strong putting and tee-to-green skills position him for success in 2026, especially if he maintains form from recent tournaments. A favorable draw or return to peak performance could tip the scales in his favor.
The 2026 field may feature younger, rising talents or established players in better form, diluting Van Rooyen's chances. Injuries or inconsistent recent performances could also undermine his bid for the title.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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