Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential injury or withdrawal before the tournament
Calibrated 100% · raw 4845% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:30:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+48.5
Opportunity
28.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4845.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
90 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Chad Ramey winning the 2026 John Deere Classic shows a near-even split (49.50%), indicating moderate uncertainty about his chances. As a PGA Tour player, his historical performance and form will be critical factors in this prediction.
Chad Ramey has shown consistent form in recent tournaments, including multiple top-20 finishes in 2024, suggesting he could be in strong contention for the 2026 John Deere Classic. His familiarity with Midwestern courses (where the tournament is held) could provide an edge over competitors.
Ramey has not won a PGA Tour event since 2021, and his recent performances have been inconsistent, with several missed cuts in 2024. The field for the John Deere Classic is typically strong, with many higher-ranked players likely to participate, reducing Ramey's chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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