Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Misclassification of event category (cricket vs. golf)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:46:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,746,407
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 10.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
17 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Brice Garnett winning the 2026 John Deere Classic has a very low probability (0.55%), indicating minimal confidence in his victory. The event is a golf tournament, not cricket, which may contribute to the low engagement or misclassification.
Brice Garnett could win if he maintains strong form, secures favorable course conditions, or benefits from a weak field where upsets are more likely. A recent uptick in his performance or a breakthrough season could also drive speculative interest.
The market's low probability reflects skepticism due to Garnett's inconsistent career record, stronger competition in PGA Tour events, or the unpredictability of golf tournaments. Misclassification of the event as cricket may also deter relevant betting activity.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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