Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or illness affecting Silverman's participation
Calibrated 100% · raw 4895% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:18:12 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+49.0
Opportunity
36.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,663,605
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4895.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
16 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Benjamin Silverman winning the 2026 John Deere Classic has a 49.50% probability, indicating a near-even split in expectations. The market is highly sensitive to player performance, tournament conditions, and PGA Tour rules.
Benjamin Silverman could win if he maintains strong form, avoids injury, and capitalizes on favorable course conditions at TPC Deere Run. A successful off-season training regimen and early-season momentum may boost his odds.
Silverman may lose if he underperforms in qualifying events, faces stiff competition from top-ranked golfers, or encounters adverse weather conditions during the tournament. Early elimination or disqualification would also resolve the market to 'No'.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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