Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Market mispricing due to low liquidity or participant bias
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:00:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.3
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,491,242
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 35.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
3d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the John Deere Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the John Deere Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Beau Hossler winning the 2026 John Deere Classic shows a very low probability (0.70%), suggesting minimal confidence in his victory. The market is highly unlikely to resolve in his favor given the low odds and the competitive nature of PGA Tour events.
Beau Hossler could win the 2026 John Deere Classic if he experiences a significant performance surge, capitalizes on favorable course conditions, or benefits from a weak field. A strong recent form or a breakthrough tournament victory could justify the low probability.
Beau Hossler is unlikely to win the 2026 John Deere Classic due to the high competitiveness of PGA Tour events, his current form, and the presence of more established players. The market's low probability reflects skepticism about his chances of securing a victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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