Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High variability in PGA Tour player performance week-to-week
Calibrated 100% · raw 1050% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:01:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
5%
ORYN Consensus
15%
Signal Score
+10.5
Opportunity
7.9
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated to global events or personal achievements
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,664,005
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1050.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 John Deere Classic tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Nicolas Echavarria has a low but non-negligible chance (15%) of finishing in the Top 20 at the 2026 John Deere Classic, reflecting his modest recent performance and competitive field. Historical PGA Tour data and tournament difficulty suggest limited upside for his current form.
Echavarria could leverage recent improvements in his game, such as enhanced putting or iron play, to secure a Top 20 finish. A favorable draw or weather conditions during the tournament could also boost his odds. Past instances of players exceeding expectations with late-season form shifts support this scenario.
Echavarria’s current ranking and recent performances (e.g., missed cuts, high scores) suggest he may struggle against the strong field at the John Deere Classic. The tournament’s competitive nature, with many higher-ranked players participating, further diminishes his chances of finishing in the Top 20.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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