Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data feed latency or errors in Chainlink's XRP/USD stream
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:16:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,137,022
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The XRP/USD prediction market for July 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET shows an even 50% probability split between 'Up' and 'Down' outcomes, indicating high uncertainty in short-term price movement. The resolution relies exclusively on Chainlink's XRP/USD data stream, which adds precision but may differ from broader market sentiment.
XRP could trend upward within the 15-minute window due to a sudden surge in trading volume or a positive macroeconomic signal affecting risk assets. If Chainlink's data stream reflects a higher closing price than the opening, the 'Up' outcome would prevail, possibly driven by institutional buying or algorithmic trading activity.
XRP may decline within the 15-minute window if broader market sentiment turns risk-off or a negative regulatory headline emerges. A lower closing price than the opening would result in a 'Down' resolution, potentially triggered by large sell orders or profit-taking from retail traders.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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