Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory uncertainty (SEC vs. Ripple)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:00:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,512,208
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 99.1% probability that XRP/USDT on Binance will close higher than its opening price for the 1-hour candle starting June 29 at 5AM ET. This near-certain outcome suggests an extremely strong bullish sentiment with minimal downside risk priced in.
The 99.1% probability implies overwhelming market confidence in a short-term upward move, likely driven by positive sentiment around Ripple's legal clarity, institutional adoption, or broader crypto market momentum. Minimal open interest in the 'Down' position suggests few participants anticipate a price decline.
Despite the high probability, extreme confidence could reflect overoptimism or a lack of hedging activity. Potential catalysts for a 'Down' resolution include unexpected regulatory actions, broader market downturns, or liquidity shocks in XRP/USDT pairs. The 0.9% 'Down' probability may underestimate tail risks.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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