Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or walkover (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:45:22 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
42%
ORYN Consensus
42%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
962,126
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 38-44
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Serena Williams and Maya Joint in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Serena Williams' if Serena Williams advances against Maya Joint. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Serena Williams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Serena Williams vs Maya Joint at Wimbledon WTA 2026 shows Maya Joint favored at 58.50% to advance, with Serena Williams at 41.50%. The 50-50 resolution condition for cancellation or walkover introduces significant uncertainty.
Serena Williams' historic dominance and experience on grass courts could outweigh Maya Joint's rising form, leading to an upset victory. A strong grass-court performance trend in recent years supports this scenario.
Maya Joint's recent momentum, potential grass-court adaptability, and Serena Williams' age-related decline could result in an unexpected loss. Tournament upsets are common in WTA, favoring younger players.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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