Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected match cancellation or delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 850% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:17:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
59%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-8.5
Opportunity
4.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -850.0¢
Entry: 55-62
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Eva Lys in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins the first set. It will resolve to “Lys” if Eva Lys wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the first set winner between Diana Shnaider and Eva Lys at Wimbledon 2026 WTA is evenly split, reflecting no clear favorite. The 50% probability suggests balanced expectations of either outcome.
Shnaider's bull case hinges on her recent clay-court dominance and potential to exploit Lys's weaker grass-court record. If Shnaider's aggressive baseline play and serve strength translate to grass, she could dominate the first set.
Lys's bear case may materialize if her superior grass-court experience and all-court versatility neutralize Shnaider's clay-court strengths. Lys's consistency and net play could secure a straight-sets victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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