Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unforeseen player injury or withdrawal
AI updated 7/2/2026, 1:45:23 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
87%
ORYN Consensus
87%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 84-90
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bouzas Maneiro' if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro advances against Jessica Pegula. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Jessica Pegula is overwhelmingly favored to defeat Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at Wimbledon WTA with an 86.5% market probability. The match is scheduled for July 3, 2026, and will resolve based on official WTA Tour outcomes or credible reporting.
Pegula’s higher market probability reflects her stronger world ranking, recent form, and historical performance against Bouzas Maneiro. Her experience in Grand Slam events and clay court proficiency (Wimbledon’s surface) further support her advantage.
Bouzas Maneiro’s potential upset could stem from Pegula’s recent injuries or fatigue, Bouzas’s rising form, or an unexpected tactical adjustment. External factors like weather delays or referee decisions may also influence the outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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