Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player injury or withdrawal
AI updated 7/1/2026, 5:15:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
23%
ORYN Consensus
23%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,491,607
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 20-26
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Naomi Osaka in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Wimbledon WTA match between Daria Kasatkina and Naomi Osaka shows a 23% probability of Kasatkina winning, indicating a strong favorite for Osaka. Historical head-to-head data and current form suggest Osaka holds the edge.
Kasatkina’s recent clay-court success and improved net play could disrupt Osaka’s baseline game. If Osaka struggles with grass-court adaptation, Kasatkina may capitalize. A deep run in previous tournaments could boost her confidence.
Osaka’s power game and experience on grass courts favor her significantly. Her aggressive playstyle may overwhelm Kasatkina’s defense. Osaka’s mental resilience in high-pressure matches further tilts odds in her favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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