Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Late withdrawal or walkover (resolves to 50-50)
Calibrated 100% · raw 3200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:15:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
71%
ORYN Consensus
39%
Signal Score
-32.0
Opportunity
23.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,156,157
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -3200.0¢
Entry: 68-74
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Sorana Cirstea and Kimberly Birrell in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Kimberly Birrell. This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Sorana Cirstea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Wimbledon WTA match between Sorana Cirstea and Kimberly Birrell shows a slight underdog status for Cirstea (38.50% probability) based on current data. The market reflects moderate uncertainty given the players' historical performance and upcoming match dynamics.
Sorana Cirstea could win due to her experience on grass courts (better than average performance in past Wimbledon appearances) and higher WTA ranking, which may provide a strategic advantage. Her aggressive baseline play could exploit Kimberly Birrell's defensive weaknesses, especially in high-pressure points.
Kimberly Birrell may prevail as an underdog with a strong serve-and-volley game, which could disrupt Cirstea's rhythm. Birrell's recent form improvements and potential home advantage (if applicable) could tilt the odds in her favor. Cirstea's injury history or fatigue from prior rounds may also play a role.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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