Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation due to weather or scheduling conflicts
Calibrated 100% · raw 3200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 12:00:46 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
77%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
-32.0
Opportunity
23.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,746,792
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -3200.0¢
Entry: 74-80
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Lanlana Tararudee in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Lanlana Tararudee. This market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Lanlana Tararudee at Wimbledon WTA shows Alexandrova with a slight edge at 44.50%, indicating a competitive matchup. The resolution criteria favor clear outcomes, with ambiguity only in cases of cancellation, tie, or walkover.
Alexandrova benefits from higher WTA ranking (top 30 vs. Tararudee's top 50), greater grass-court experience (multiple Wimbledon appearances), and stronger historical head-to-head record (2-0). Her aggressive baseline game could exploit Tararudee's defensive style, especially on slower Wimbledon grass.
Tararudee's improving form (recent WTA 250 final) and Alexandrova's injury history (missed 2025 Australian Open) could tilt odds. Unexpected weather delays or Tararudee's net play might disrupt Alexandrova's rhythm. Lower-ranked players often overperform in grand slams due to reduced pressure.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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