Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or late roster changes
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:31:00 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,085,798
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alyssa Thomas scores more than 14.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Alyssa Thomas scores 14.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official WNBA box score as published on WNBA.com.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Alyssa Thomas' points O/U 14.5 is balanced at 50%, reflecting equal probability of scoring above or below the threshold. The outcome hinges on her performance in the upcoming WNBA game on July 2.
Alyssa Thomas may exceed 14.5 points due to her historical scoring averages (career ~14.2 PPG) and recent form, where she has posted multiple 20+ point games this season. Her role as a primary scorer for the Connecticut Sun could drive higher usage in critical games.
Thomas might underperform the 14.5-point threshold if facing strong defensive opponents or if her team employs a balanced offensive approach reducing her individual shot attempts. Fatigue or minor injuries could also limit her output.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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